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Solutions

Flight safety analytics

Bodies of occurrence and operational data: patterns, concentrations, repetition of factors and a check on whether the measures taken worked.

What we do

We analyse bodies of occurrence and operational data over a period: where occurrences concentrate, which factors repeat, how units, aerodromes and seasons differ, what genuinely changes over time, and what a change in exposure or seasonality explains.

A separate line of work is checking whether measures already carried out have worked.

The calculation has to show whether a change in an indicator relates to the measure or happened independently of it. Seasonality and exposure are accounted for, and the volume of observations is tested for sufficiency.

How we work

  1. Data
  2. Analysis
  3. Findings
  4. Recommendations

Form of the result

From you: an export of occurrences over two years or more, flight-hour and trip data for computing exposure, and a list of measures carried out with their dates. The data may be de-identified.

Result: an analytical report with a computed part — control charts by indicator, an analysis of concentrations and repeating factors, an assessment of the effectiveness of measures, and a list of areas requiring attention.

Acceptance: a report to your collegial flight safety body.

Where data falls short: we state the volume that needs to accrue and which data is worth starting to collect now.

What the airline gets

The airline receives a computed picture across its indicators: which signals are statistically confirmed, where occurrences concentrate and what data supports that finding.

For every measure examined, one of three results follows: the change is confirmed, the change is not confirmed, or the data is still insufficient.

Where data is insufficient we state the volume of observations required and the expected date by which it will accrue, wherever such a date can be determined.